Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.741804 0.870814 1.010347 1.171845 1.352968 1.549184 1.777159
2025-08-17 0.503335 0.674009 0.877286 1.134120 1.446645 1.811220 2.265046
2025-08-24 0.369106 0.558669 0.805015 1.140740 1.577788 2.118563 2.828412
2025-08-31 0.274194 0.466761 0.738234 1.134158 1.680497 2.390643 3.363955
2025-09-07 0.221172 0.418343 0.716803 1.177674 1.844626 2.746192 4.024081
2025-09-14 0.178532 0.374136 0.690910 1.206422 1.984878 3.073864 4.662604
2025-09-21 0.136637 0.319677 0.637847 1.183965 2.044098 3.287989 5.153359
2025-09-28 0.112625 0.290741 0.620050 1.211343 2.175583 3.608112 5.804147
2025-10-05 0.093111 0.265072 0.602628 1.235110 2.300276 3.922089 6.458022
2025-10-12 0.076933 0.241694 0.584744 1.254305 2.416569 4.226933 7.109505
2025-10-19 0.061577 0.215305 0.555992 1.249563 2.490979 4.469046 7.675581
2025-10-26 0.047164 0.186059 0.515665 1.217527 2.514702 4.630563 8.123700
2025-11-02 0.037604 0.166798 0.493813 1.219489 2.599942 4.898922 8.755798
2025-11-09 0.027820 0.142410 0.455465 1.183924 2.615512 5.055398 9.221655
2025-11-16 0.022195 0.128859 0.439779 1.192202 2.710423 5.346254 9.910591
2025-11-23 0.017139 0.114482 0.418746 1.185990 2.776821 5.591262 10.534357
2025-11-30 0.014701 0.109390 0.421172 1.231317 2.944246 6.015559 11.463941
2025-12-07 0.012207 0.102504 0.417126 1.261200 3.082914 6.395201 12.332157
2025-12-14 0.008987 0.089392 0.391792 1.237991 3.113668 6.585811 12.891973
2025-12-21 0.007402 0.083879 0.388254 1.266364 3.250158 6.969255 13.786750
2025-12-28 0.006028 0.078394 0.383505 1.290982 3.379979 7.345176 14.679585
2026-01-04 0.004836 0.072867 0.377248 1.310859 3.500640 7.708456 15.560952
2026-01-11 0.003617 0.065430 0.362254 1.305951 3.567587 7.974725 16.282293